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--- woolcrossingtrafficsimulationpart2 [2016/07/15 07:10] – created mark
+++ woolcrossingtrafficsimulationpart2 [2016/07/15 10:01] – [Scenario 1] mark
@@ Line 1: / Line 1: @@
 ====== Wool Traffic Simulation - Part 2 ======
-The last sim
+The last set of simulations (see [[WoolCrossingTrafficSimulation|Wool Traffic Simulation]] for more background information) only used existing measurements to generate the model.
+The Department for Transport produces forecasts for the estimated number of vehicles over the next 25 years. This data is available from the following location:
 https://www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/tra99-forecasts-of-traffic
+The following table shows the Forecasts of road traffic in England and the increase from the estimated 2015 level.
+^ Scenario ^ 2015  ^ 2030 ^ % Increase  ^
+| Scenario 1 | 106 | 130  | 22.80% |
+| Scenario 2 | 105 | 125  | 18.38% |
+| Scenario 3 | 103 | 115  | 12.01% |
+| Scenario 4 | 103 | 119  | 15.50% |
+| Scenario 5 | 110 | 141  | 28.74% |
+More infomation on the different Scenarios can be found in the {{https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/411471/road-traffic-forecasts-2015.pdf|Road Traffic Forecasts 2015}}
+====== Scenario 1 ======
+The following video shows the simulation at the first time the cross goes down (~8:15am) with the extra vehicles using the Department for Transport forecast statistics for Scenario 1.
+{{youtube>Pgp69ZzEC98|SimWithEstimatedVehicle1000HomeS1Forecast}}
+The Video shows the queue goes beyond the Dorset Green roundabout.
+====== TODO ======
+   * Perform the simulation on Scenario 2 to 5
-`2015	`2020	`2025	`2030 `
-| 106	| 115	| 124	| 130 |
-| 105	| 113	| 120	| 125 |
-| 103	| 108	| 113	| 115 |
-| 103	| 108	| 115	| 119 |
-| 110	| 122	| 133	| 141 |